Application of mathematical modelling to inform national malaria intervention planning in Nigeria

Published in Malaria Journal, 2023

Ozodiegwu, I.D., Ambrose, M., Galatas, B. Runge M. et al. Application of mathematical modelling to inform national malaria intervention planning in Nigeria. Malar J 22, 137 (2023). https://malariajournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12936-023-04563-w

An agent-based model of Plasmodium falciparum transmission was used to simulate malaria morbidity and mortality in Nigeria’s 774 LGAs under four possible intervention strategies from 2020 to 2030. The scenarios represented the previously implemented plan (business-as-usual), the NMSP at an 80% or higher coverage level and two prioritized plans according to the resources available to Nigeria. Download paper here