Design of effective outpatient sentinel surveillance for COVID-19 decision-making: a modeling study

Published in medRXiv, 2022

Toh KB, Runge M, Richardson RA, Hladish TJ, Gerardin J. Design of effective outpatient sentinel surveillance for COVID-19 decision-making: a modeling study. medRxiv; 2022. p. 2022.10.21.22281330. doi:10.1101/2022.10.21.22281330 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.10.21.22281330v1

We used a stochastic, compartmental transmission model to evaluate the performance of various surveillance indicators at reliably triggering an alarm in response to, but not before, a step increase in transmission of SARS-CoV-2. Download preprint here