Event report
Epidemiology · Modelling · Knowledge sharing
Driven by better health.
Guided by evidence.
Here I share ideas and reflections from my work in infectious disease research.
A space for scientific questions, reflections from research and conversations that help make sense of complex health challenges.
- Learn
Follow questions and explore methods.
- Exchange
Connect ideas and different perspectives.
- Share stories
Reflect on research and lessons from events.
Ideas & observations
Selected Writing
Event report
Learnings from the IDM Symposium 2024
Event report
Reflections from MIM Kigali 2024: Invest, Innovate, and Integrate
Areas of expertise
Research grounded in careful methods
Scientific and methodological expertise for collaboration, analytical support and clear scientific writing.
Infectious disease epidemiology
Research on malaria, vaccine-preventable diseases, COVID-19 and related public health questions.
Modelling and inference
Simulation models, statistical analysis and model-informed exploration of intervention impact.
Evidence and methods
Evidence review, synthesis and methodological scrutiny for transparent scientific reasoning.
Scientific communication
Publications, peer review, conference reporting, figures and writing for research audiences.
Selected work
Papers, talks and posters
Publications, projects and roles on this website document my personal professional experience, including work with research teams and institutions. They are not presented as consultancy commissions delivered by Manuela Runge GmbH.
Institutionalizing school-based malaria surveillance to strengthen subnational stratification and policy in Tanzania: lessons from a decade of national implementation (2014–2025)
Evaluating PMC strategies across perennial and sub-perennial malaria settings using mathematical modelling
A prioritised research agenda to inform the introduction and use of Lassa fever vaccines in West Africa
Building contextually-relevant training programs for scientific development: process and lessons learned in implementing two iterations of a faculty enrichment program in applied malaria modeling
Subnational tailoring of malaria interventions to prioritize the malaria response in Guinea
Comparative Analysis of Individual-Based Malaria Models: Characterizing model behavior for enhanced confidence in model-informed decision making
MultiMalModPy - A novel programmatic framework for running three individual-based malaria transmission models
COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness Studies against Symptomatic and Severe Outcomes during the Omicron Period in Four Countries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region
Using modeling to assess the operational effectiveness of implementing pragmatic Perennial Malaria Chemoprevention in Osun State, Southern Nigeria
Application of mathematical modelling to inform national malaria intervention planning in Nigeria
Combined impact of Perennial Malaria Chemopreven on and RTS,S to reduce malaria in young children: a modeling analysis
Simulated impact of perennial malaria chemoprevention and vaccination to reduce malaria during early childhood
Research trajectory
Selected projects and fields of work
AMMnet Board and Learning Committee
Board and committee service supporting applied malaria modelling, analytics, learning and collaboration.
COVID-19 modelling in Illinois
Development of transmission model for COVID-19 for each region in Illinois
School Malaria Parasitaemia Survey
During my master studies I spent 6 months in Tanzania to support data collection and analysis of the school survey, conducted by the National Malaria Control Programme.
Modelling larviciding deployment strategies
Objectives of this project were to simulate varying larviciding deployment strategies and to determine coverage thresholds for targeting larvae vs adult mosquitoes.
MESA Correspondent and Senior Editor
Scientific reporting and senior editorial support for malaria conference coverage and knowledge exchange.
Modelling to support strategic planning in Mainland Tanzania
This project describes the use of mathematical modelling for planning of malaria intervention strategies embedded within the long-term collaboration between the Health Intervention Unit's NE
Multi-malaria-model comparison and alignment
Comparative work aligning outputs from multiple malaria transmission models, with emphasis on transparent assumptions, reproducible Python workflows and interpretation across modelling frame
School Malaria Parasitaemia Survey
During my master studies I spent 6 months in Tanzania to support data collection and analysis of the school survey, conducted by the National Malaria Control Programme.
School Malaria Parasitaemia Survey
During my master studies I spent 6 months in Tanzania to support data collection and analysis of the school survey, conducted by the National Malaria Control Programme.